Our Work

We believe that the primary task for our generation is to build a new American strategy attuned to the pressing realities of our time. This framework must be comprehensive of the major regions and dimensions of U.S. power and interests. It must also be willing to challenge established wisdom and inertia in U.S. national security policy and related fields.

No Sanctuary: The PLA’s Kinetic Threat to the Homeland

by William Kim and Elbridge A. Colby

Without adequate U.S. preparations, a large-scale—or even small but effectively targeted— PLA strike against the United States could be devastating, not only in terms of direct costs but on the ability of the United States to wage a war.
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Getting Strategic Deprioritization Right

by A. Wess Mitchell and Jakub Grygiel, Principal Co-Investigators; Elbridge A. Colby and Matt Pottinger, Contributors

Project prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, United States Department of Defense. Published with approval from the Office of Net Assessment.
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Sino-American Competition, Global Strategy, and the Place of the Middle East

by David Hale

The Middle East has for so long dominated the United States’ vision of its threats that it has come to distort the latter’s picture of the globe; a correction of these distortions is overdue. The United States also has a significant, if at present strained, informal alliance structure in the region and considerable assets — soft and hard — that should not be abandoned. What is needed is a sense of proportion, balance, and conceptual coherence for the partnerships among the United States and like-minded Middle Eastern states to guide the re-prioritization inherent in the idea of a rational pivot.
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27th Annual Economist Government Roundtable: Keynote Remarks

A. Wess Mitchell

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November 30, 2023

Kissinger Met with Xi and Other Powerful Figures into His 100th Year

The New York Times | "When Henry Kissinger popped up in an ornate meeting room in Beijing in July with Xi Jinping, China’s leader, the episode became the most vivid symbol of the former diplomat and business consultant’s ability through the decades to put himself next to centers of power.".........
November 29, 2023

David Hale: Sino-American Competition, Global Strategy, and the Place of the Middle East

The National Interest | The pivot to East Asia is a rational maneuver much discussed over the past decades but of only recent and somewhat sticky execution..........
November 16, 2023

Biden Admin’s Policy Is ‘Appeasement’ Towards China: Elbridge Colby

Fox News | Elbridge Colby joins "The Ingraham Angle" to discuss Joe Biden's 'appeasement' strategy towards China..........
November 16, 2023

Osama bin Laden letter goes viral on TikTok | On Balance

NewsNation | Elbridge Colby joins ‘On Balance’ with Leland Vittert to discuss TikTok’s malign influence over America’s young people via disinformation; they also discuss the strategic implications of the APEC Summit....
November 16, 2023

America Is a Heartbeat Away From a War It Could Lose

Foreign Policy | Global war is neither a theoretical contingency nor the fever dream of hawks and militarists.....
November 15, 2023

One friendly meeting: What’s changed, what hasn’t in China-U.S. rivalry

CBC News | The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission cited escalating rhetoric from Xi; instructions to his military to be ready for combat; new conscription and reservist laws allowing faster mobilization....
November 15, 2023

U.S. Signalling Low Expectations for APEC Summit, Says Former U.S. Defence Official

CBC News | The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco is the first face-to-face meeting in a year between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping amidst tensions between the two superpowers....
November 15, 2023

Elbridge Colby on the Stakes of Today’s Biden-Xi Summit

The Free Press | “I think the most charitable explanation is that the administration is seeking to communicate directly to Xi Jinping that we are not looking to strangle them or suppress them. What Xi Jinping presumably wants to achieve in his visit is not actually speaking to Biden, but speaking to American businessmen.“..........
November 15, 2023

Xi Jinping sees the US as an ‘existential threat’: Elbridge Colby

Fox Business | Former Trump administration Department of Defense official Elbridge Colby shares his expectations for President Biden’s meeting with China’s Xi Jinping.....
November 10, 2023

Will Hamas abide by Israel’s 4-hour daily pauses?

Fox Business | Former Defense official Elbridge Colby and Ret. Lt. Col. James Carafano discuss the latest in the Israel-Hamas war on 'The Evening Edit......